Monitoring recreational waters for human health
risks is a necessary but time- and cost-intensive process for health agencies.
Budget constraints result in choices that may reduce the coverage of monitoring
to levels that are below what is optimally desired. This is especially
true if the area requiring monitoring is large and the funds for providing
that monitoring are inadequate. For some agencies the feasibility of carrying
out a comprehensive sampling program, (e.g. daily monitoring), is not
an option, even though more frequent sampling of recreational waters may
provide a more accurate picture of bacteria levels at a given location
than sampling less often. As sampling frequency is reduced, it is not
always clear what is lost in terms of detecting high bacteria levels.
Sampling less often yields less accurate results as compared to daily
sampling, but how much less accurate has not been quantified. In this
study there is a direct relationship between the frequency of sampling
and the ability to detect exceedances of an established threshold. Not
surprisingly, sampling every other day reduces the ability to detect an
exceedance by half, and sampling once a week by one-seventh. Following
up exceedances with additional sampling can increase the effectiveness
of a sampling regime; the increase in additional sampling results in a
proportionally larger increase in effectiveness. These results quantify
for the first time the reduction in accuracy when sampling is not conducted
on a daily basis. They also demonstrate that, by refining sampling regimes,
health agencies may efficiently increase their ability to protect public
health. With the cost of monitoring programs often a limiting factor in
protecting public health, the information provided here will help agencies
to make better informed decisions about the allocation of their limited
resources.